Is manifold market politically biased? If so, in which direction? | Manifold

Is manifold market politically biased? If so, in which direction?

12

Never closes

Not biased

Biased, consistently overestimates in a conservative direction

Biased, consistently overestimates in a liberal direction

See results

Manifold Features

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

Well, during US elections, Trump was consistently lower than real money betting markets and ended up winning. So I'd say it's left biased at least in terms of US politics.

I don't have strong feeling either way, but if is becomes successful this poll should be interpreted as giving reversed results

Related questions

Will the largest manifold market covering the US presidential election correctly predict the outcome of the election?

Will Manifold be more accurate than Polymarket in forecasting the 2024 election?

Will Manifold introduce a downvote for markets?

What is the split of political views on manifold

Related questions

Will the largest manifold market covering the US presidential election correctly predict the outcome of the election?

Will Manifold introduce a downvote for markets?

Will Manifold be more accurate than Polymarket in forecasting the 2024 election?

What is the split of political views on manifold

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules