Will Joe Manchin run for Governor of West Virginia as an Independent?
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35
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resolved Jul 31
Resolved
NO

Resolves if he decides to run, or decides to not run

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Joe Manchin has said that he will not run - should i resolve?

I think we need to wait until August when the deadline passes for him to decide to run. He could still change his mind.

Alright.

What's the timeframe on this?

@PlasmaBallin Actually, I guess within the next day or two?

"The West Virginia Democrat needs to decide whether to run as an independent for governor — or to keep his current Senate seat — by the weekend, at least 60 days before the Aug. 1 deadline for filing for an independent campaign, according to secretary of state’s office."

opened a Ṁ100 YES at 22% order

@TimothyJohnson5c16 are we sure he's not just like, trivially lying?

@SemioticRivalry Of course we can't rule that out yet. But my impression is that Manchin generally says what he means.

@SemioticRivalry Also, Steve Williams has said they've been friends for decades, so it would be a weird betrayal for Manchin to suddenly jump in and run against him. (I can't seem to find the source right now though.)

@TimothyJohnson5c16 The Senate and Gov candidates are both longtime Manchin allies. Yet he just left the Democratic Party and became an independent for seemingly no reason if it's not a calculated move to run statewide.

@SemioticRivalry If he were planning to run, wouldn't he wait to change his voter registration until he's ready to announce that he's running?

@TimothyJohnson5c16 i think it makes sense to do it a few weeks/months in advance so that it looks less calculated to the voters.

@SemioticRivalry Agreed. I think that Manchin has a decent chance if he decides to run as an independent since he won against Pat Morrissey 6 years ago, but the democrat might have a spoiler effect. It'll be interesting to see if he does run.

@EddisonChen I think Manchin has until August 1st to file for an independent campaign, right? Do you want to extend the close date?

@TimothyJohnson5c16

I'll extend to July 31st. Thanks for letting me know!