Based on the trajectory of my life as of today I see it as a distinct possibility that I am driven insane by one or a combination of a number of factors:
long term existential concerns
Contemplation of optimization
Perceiving excess human suffering and or human fates
Etc.
This leads naturally to the question of if I will be insane by EOY 2025 as well as what the nature and consequences of such insanity should be in the event that it occurs.
My perceived stress will stand in as a proxy for my sanity. The questionnaire below will act as a measure of my perceived stress.
Should my score be at or above 0.70 PSQ during the months of November or December at some point along with the personal assessment that my sanity is slipping this market will resolve to Yes.
For reference my current score for stress sits at 0.52 PSQ.
Should there be enough interest in this market I may repeat the questionnaire before November and December as a kind of progress update.
Best of luck and may god have mercy on your soul.😁
1,000Being stressed out, even to the point of panic attacks, is quite different from being insane. I would recommend either changing the title to match the criteria (e.g. "Will I be suffering from extreme stress by EOY?") or changing the criteria to match the title (e.g. "resolves yes if I am involuntarily confined to a psychiatric hospital and/or am diagnosed by a qualified medical professional with a severe delusional mental illness such as paranoid schizophrenia"). Stay safe fam 🙏
@TheAllMemeingEye 💀 worst case scenario I expect the type of madness you’d see a character in a lovecraft novel and based on the period in which lovecraft wrote where he was likely inspired by shellshock so all things considered prolonged intense stress may actually be a good predictive proxy. That being said I don’t intend to put more thought than necessary into this and I’ll probably be fine though the future obviously remains unknown.
(p.s. I am also of the belief that you can be simultaneously completely lucid, in touch with reality and void of any symptoms of a defined pathology while maintaining a rational set of internal values and objectives that pushes the structure of the mind to the limits.)