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MANIFOLD
Which month will JonTron release his next video?
11
Ṁ400Ṁ6k
2027
0.5%
October 2025
0.7%
November 2025
0.5%
December 2025
0.7%
January 2026
0.7%
February 2026
0.7%
March 2026
31%
April through December 2026
65%
Other

As stated in the title, will resolve to the month or set of months that JonTron post the next video on the main channel. I will likely bet in this prediction as well.

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@mods Can we resolve the markets that can be resolved?
EJA was last active 4 weeks ago.

@JasonMendoza2008 do we have a source? market doesn't seem convinced of the answers

@Stralor Well we know the person won't release a new video in 2025 right? I was just talking about resolve the "submarkets" that could be resolved. Sorry if I wasn't clear.

bought Ṁ50 YES

@JasonMendoza2008 yeah I just had to look it up which slows me down when churning through the mod queue. I'm gonna snipe the remaining liquidity then!

@Stralor also, I didn't realize this before I bet but this is a dependent ("linked") MC market. unfortunately we can't resolve any options early here since only one option (or, rarely, a few options that split the total percent) can resolve YES. it all resolves at once since betting on any of them affects the odds for all of them. I've put up some limits if you want to sell out of any options (and can add more if they aren't sufficient)

@Stralor feel free to grab the remaining liquidity, I didn’t bet more cuz I didn’t have enough M and even if I did I wouldn’t want to be stuck till the end of the year with none then aha

sold Ṁ145 NO

@Stralor thanks for the limits I sold a bit

@JasonMendoza2008 yeah nw. I have the bankroll to sit on it and needed somewhere to park some mana anyway

@EJA if the next video is a livestream that doesn't even appear in the main videos tab, does it count?