Will the "Will this market's value ever hit 10%?" market resolve YES?
30
208
Ṁ590
resolved Apr 9
Resolved
NO

Resolves identicaly to the below market:

This market can be used for arbitrage and can theoretically go below 11% and still resolve NO :)

Get Ṁ200 play money

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bought Ṁ91 of NO

Can resolve to no.

predicted NO

I say we all sell our shares to bring down Dylan!

bought Ṁ90 of NO

If I’ve done my calculations right, I’ll make 88M profit if the market resolves NO and 214M profit if the market resolves YES

bought Ṁ125 of NO

People are really intent on giving me free money here

Wow, it's proof that the probability of a YES resolution really is 12%. Why else would both markets be at 12%?

predicted NO

@JosephNoonan Arbitrage

@AlexbGoode I know, that was a joke

bought Ṁ95 of NO

Resolve!

bought Ṁ200 of NO

@HarryFischer This market resolves identically to the other market. It is an arbitrage market