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Will Donald Trump announce a new cabinet member before 1 July 2026?
16
Ṁ100Ṁ1.2k
Jun 30
98%
chance

Resolution criteria

The market resolves YES if Trump announces a new cabinet member (including replacements for existing positions) before 1 July 2026. An announcement is defined as a public statement by Trump or his official representatives confirming a nomination or appointment to a cabinet or cabinet-level position. Resolution sources include official White House announcements, press releases, and major news outlets reporting on confirmed announcements. The market resolves NO if no new cabinet member is announced by 23:59 UTC on 30 June 2026.

Background

As of March 6, 2026, Trump removed Kristi Noem as secretary of Homeland Security and nominated Markwayne Mullin to take the position. As of March 6, 2026, 21 Cabinet members subject to Senate approval had been confirmed, with one awaiting confirmation. Cabinet positions include the 15 executive department heads plus cabinet-level positions such as the CIA director, EPA administrator, and U.S. trade representative.

Market context
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https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations/Trump_47_cabinet.htm

Todd Blanche Announced Jun 3, 2026 Received Jun 8, 2026

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/06/08/todd-blanche-trump-nominates-attorney-general.html
Politics

Trump nominates Todd Blanche for attorney general amid controversy over DOJ fund
President Donald Trump on Monday nominated Todd Blanche as attorney general, a position that he has held in an acting capacity for more than two months.

Trump had said he would ask the Senate to confirm Blanche as attorney general to succeed Pam Bondi, whom the president fired on April 2.

This seems to adequate fit a nomination announcement? @DylanGulliver
"An announcement is defined as a public statement by Trump or his official representatives confirming a nomination or appointment to a cabinet or cabinet-level position"

If instead it is becoming an cabinet member in an acting role rather than the nomination for formally taking position then
"Assumed acting office April 2, 2026" per Second cabinet of Donald Trump - Wikipedia
is also in the timeframe of this question. So either way it seems the question should resolve yes.

Resolve please.