Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if Gianni Infantino ceases to hold the office of FIFA President, is suspended, or is prematurely removed from his duties on or before March 18, 2027 (the scheduled date of the next FIFA Electoral Congress).

Valid triggers for a YES resolution include:

• Official resignation or stepping down.

• Formally being suspended from his duties by FIFA's Ethics Committee or another governing body.

• Being removed or dismissed from office by the FIFA Congress or Council.

This market resolves to NO if he remains in office continuously up to the start of the scheduled electoral congress on March 18, 2027.

• Choosing not to run for re-election or losing the vote at the March 18, 2027 Congress does not count as being "sacked" (prematurely removed) and will resolve to NO as long as he serves out his term until that date.

• If the election congress is delayed or rescheduled to a later date, the cutoff date for premature removal under this market remains March 18, 2027.

The primary source for resolution will be official press releases from the FIFA Media Center or reputable international sports news agencies (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, BBC Sport).

Background

FIFA President Gianni Infantino, in office since 2016, is facing severe scrutiny and widespread calls to resign following a major controversy during the July 2026 World Cup. During the tournament, US forward Folarin Balogun was shown a red card against Bosnia and Herzegovina. Following a personal intervention and phone call from US President Donald Trump to Infantino, FIFA's disciplinary committee suspended Balogun's ban, allowing him to play in the Round of 16 match against Belgium.

The decision provoked a massive backlash from European football associations and fans, with critics accusing Infantino of violating FIFA’s strict statutes prohibiting third-party and political interference. While Infantino has defended the independence of the disciplinary committee, pressure continues to mount. Notably, on July 15, 2026, the German Football Association (DFB) announced it would withhold its support for Infantino's upcoming re-election campaign. The next FIFA presidential election is scheduled to take place at the 77th FIFA Congress in Rabat, Morocco, on March 18, 2027.

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