Will the world population decrease before 2030?
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48
Ṁ1634
2029
18%
chance

Will a credible population counter run in reverse to the point that the population at the end of the week is lower than the start (7 day rolling, not Sunday to Sunday), and this is not due to a technical glitch or recalculation of previously false data/assumptions?

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Assuming this is the human population, excluding AIs.

@MartinRandall That is my assumption. If all credible population counters count AIs as population, I'll resolve N/A.

So, some people are reading this as "Will a credible population counter run in reverse to the point that the population at the end of the week is lower than the start (7 day rolling, not Sunday to Sunday)" and some people are reading this as "Will a credible population counter run in reverse to the point that the population at the end of a period of at least a week in length (7 day rolling, not Sunday to Sunday) is lower than the start."

I don't mind changing it to the second, and I think that might be a better market, but that strikes me as an important change. Comments?

@Duncan Never mind, these are equivalent.

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