Will the Turkmenistanian "Gates of Hell" fire be extinguished before 2023?
Will the Turkmenistanian "Gates of Hell" fire be extinguished before 2023?
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140Ṁ2184resolved Jan 1
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President Gurbanguly Berdymukhamedov recently called for the Darvaza gas crater, colloquially known as the "Gates of Hell", to be put out. This has been attempted before, but environmental, health, and economic concerns have convinced Turkmenistan to try again. #Turkmenistan #climatechange #worldevents
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
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