Will 10,000 people die of H5N1 before the end of 2024?
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66
Ṁ25kDec 31
1.4%
chance
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1M
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There's some misalignment in the markets; this is priced the same as the 10,000 Americans/2023 market, this being necessarily more likely.
https://manifold.markets/Duncan/will-10000-americans-die-of-h5n1-in
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