Let’s say you got a free $M100 a day. What kind of market would you prefer to bet on?
11
540Ṁ120
resolved Jul 3
37%28%
Prosocial markets (those which gives important info that helps people make better decisions)
22%17%
Brainstorming markets, markets that are there to find a good solution to a problem
17%13%
Interesting questions that feel valued incorrectly
12%9%
Betting against people to incentivize them
7%6%
The one that makes me the most mana in real terms (using discounted cashflows)
1%1.4%
The one that makes me the most mana
1%1.9%
gameable/silly markets
1%0.9%
Risky markets
1%0.9%
Long-term markets
22%Other
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Right now i mostly bet on such market in order to try to be accurate, but I might bet more against people's goal (will i finish this project) if they were more common
@Duncan I think the "me" there refers to the voter and not himself in particular...
@BionicD0LPH1N this is great virtue signaling, but I doubt that people would treat free bets any different to free markets.
Might be overlapping a little with prosocial, but it feels different for me. I'm happy to merge with prosocial if it feels too similar to you
@MichaelWheatley Well, as a group, people aren't going be super supportive of "the market in which EnopoletusHarding makes the most". Widening the criteria might help.
@Duncan Maybe, but why would I vote for a proxy of the trait instead of the trait itself?
How does this market resolve?
@MartinRandall Roughly "however I feel like", but I'll primarily take into account the usefulness of the results and the number of people who vote on a given result.
(As in, high-risk high-reward bets)
@BionicD0LPH1N ++
@EnopoletusHarding Does that kind of market share any other quality in common?
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