Let’s say you got a free $M100 a day. What kind of market would you prefer to bet on?
11
11
resolved Jul 3
37%28%
Prosocial markets (those which gives important info that helps people make better decisions)
22%17%
Brainstorming markets, markets that are there to find a good solution to a problem
17%13%
Interesting questions that feel valued incorrectly
12%9%
Betting against people to incentivize them
7%6%
The one that makes me the most mana in real terms (using discounted cashflows)
1%1.4%
The one that makes me the most mana
1%1.9%
gameable/silly markets
1%0.9%
Risky markets
1%0.9%
Long-term markets
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answered
Betting against people to incentivize them
bought Ṁ10
Right now i mostly bet on such market in order to try to be accurate, but I might bet more against people's goal (will i finish this project) if they were more common
answered
The one that makes me the most mana
@Duncan I think the "me" there refers to the voter and not himself in particular...
answered
Prosocial markets (those which gives important info that helps people make better decisions)
@BionicD0LPH1N this is great virtue signaling, but I doubt that people would treat free bets any different to free markets.
answered
Brainstorming markets, markets that are there to find a good solution to a problem
bought Ṁ20
Might be overlapping a little with prosocial, but it feels different for me. I'm happy to merge with prosocial if it feels too similar to you
answered
The one that makes me the most mana
@MichaelWheatley Well, as a group, people aren't going be super supportive of "the market in which EnopoletusHarding makes the most". Widening the criteria might help.
answered
The one that makes me the most mana
@Duncan Maybe, but why would I vote for a proxy of the trait instead of the trait itself?
How does this market resolve?
@MartinRandall Roughly "however I feel like", but I'll primarily take into account the usefulness of the results and the number of people who vote on a given result.
answered
Risky markets
bought Ṁ2
(As in, high-risk high-reward bets)
answered
Prosocial markets (those which gives important info that helps people make better decisions)
@BionicD0LPH1N ++
answered
The one that makes me the most mana
@EnopoletusHarding Does that kind of market share any other quality in common?