Faustino Oro (IM 2516) is set to play Aleksey Grebnev (GM 2621) in the final round of Aeroflot Open 2026 tommorow. If Faustino Oro wins, he will reach a tournament performance rating of 2600, earning him his third and final GM norm, making him the youngest Grandmaster in chess history. If he draws or loses, he will fall short of the 2600 threshold for the GM norm, and with under a week left, has no more chances to break the current record for youngest Grandmaster held by Abhimanyu Mishra.
Important Note: This market will resolve purely based on the results of the match tommorow between Faustino Oro and Aleksey Grebnev, not based on whenever the paperwork to actually become a GM gets fully filed. If Faustino Oro wins tommorow, this market will resolve YES, otherwise, this market will resolve NO. In the case of the match being delayed, this market will either wait to resolve if it is still possible for Faustino Oro to break the record, or will instantly resolve NO if it is delayed past the deadline.