Shortly after the close date, I will resolve this market to YES or NO (No partial resolutions), depending on which resolution I believe would result in me making the most mana. This includes direct profit from the resolution itself, as well as any external or future mana I believe I would gain from the resolution of the market (Such as bribes or goodwill). If I believe that I would gain the same amount of mana no matter which choice I resolve the market to, I will instead use @FairlyRandom to resolve the market based on the simulated coin flip (1 = YES, 2 = NO).
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ121 | |
| 2 | Ṁ24 | |
| 3 | Ṁ1 |
Based on return liquidity from api.manifold.markets/v0/slug/this-market-will-resolve-to-whichev:
Mana gained from liquidity return if resolved NO: 1205.93292403124
Mana gained from liquidity return if resolved YES: 253.297099334461
No bribes/external factors AFAIK, and ~1206 > ~253, so resolving NO.