Resolution Criteria

As of February 2026, no official trailer has been released. The market resolves YES when the first official trailer for Spider-Man: Brand New Day is publicly released by Sony Pictures or Marvel Studios on any platform (theatrical, streaming, or social media). Resolution will be determined by checking official sources including Sony Pictures' YouTube channel, Marvel.com, and major entertainment news outlets. The market resolves NO if no trailer is released by July 31, 2026.

Background

Spider-Man: Brand New Day, starring Tom Holland and directed by Destin Daniel Cretton, swings into theatres on July 31, 2026. Reports indicate there will not be a Brand New Day trailer at the Super Bowl 2026. Sony appears to be following the Spider-Man: No Way Home playbook, where the first trailer didn't debut until August 2021, about four months before the film's release date.

Considerations

The trailer is expected to release soon, with one possibility being that it will follow hot on the heels of the Super Bowl. However, beyond that, it becomes harder to predict, with potential release windows tied to other major film releases like Pixar's Hoppers (March 6), Project Hail Mary (March 20), or The Super Mario Galaxy Movie in April.

This description was generated by AI.