Resolution criteria

The market resolves based on when the official Dune: Part Three trailer is publicly released. The first trailer for Dune: Part Three is finished and should be out very soon, according to recent statements from lead actor Timothée Chalamet. Resolution will be determined by the official release date of the trailer on Warner Bros.' official channels or major entertainment platforms (YouTube, social media, theatrical releases, etc.). The market resolves YES for whichever timeframe the trailer releases within.

Background

Dune: Part Three is scheduled to be theatrically released in the United States by Warner Bros. Pictures on December 18, 2026. With Dune: Part Two, the first trailer was released about 10 months before the film's release, though it was about six months before the original release date. Dune: Part Three is expected to follow a similar timeline, with a teaser likely heading our way sometime in June or July 2026. Principal photography began in July 2025 and wrapped in November, taking place in Budapest and Abu Dhabi.

Considerations

The provided answer options (Before March 2026, Before April 2026, Before May 2026, Before June 2026) all precede industry expectations for trailer release. Based on historical precedent from the previous film and current production timelines, a trailer release before June 2026 would be notably early.