Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the price level that Bitcoin reaches first on the Coinbase exchange (BTC-USD pair).

• $75,000: Resolves YES if the price on Coinbase reaches or exceeds $75,000.00 at any point before it reaches $85,000.00.

• $85,000: Resolves YES if the price on Coinbase reaches or exceeds $85,000.00 at any point before it reaches $75,000.00.

The market will be resolved based on data from Coinbase Pro/Advanced Trade. If the market closes or reaches both thresholds simultaneously due to a data gap or extreme volatility, the lower threshold will be considered reached first.

Background

Bitcoin price action is subject to high volatility and liquidity conditions. This market tracks the order in which specific nominal price thresholds are triggered on a major centralized exchange. As of May 2026, Bitcoin's price fluctuates based on global market demand, regulatory news, and macroeconomic factors. Traders should note that "hitting" a price refers to the instantaneous trade price (the last traded price) rather than a daily closing price.