Resolves to floor(sqrt(traders)) mod 2

Question

Resolves YES if and only if floor(sqrt(traders)) is odd. This counts the number of distinct traders on the market, given by the number in the top right corner of this market.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 57% chance (10 traders, as of Jun 1, 2026).

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