Total militant + civilian deaths in the present armed conflict. There have been at least 48 so far.
Update 2025-05-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has indicated they will wait for third-party confirmation of the death count before resolving the market.
Update 2025-06-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has indicated that in situations where they previously (and mistakenly) believed they could resolve the market to 'No' (such as potentially for counts less than 100, as per the user's query), their alternative plan is to resolve the market to N/A.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ38 | |
| 2 | Ṁ31 | |
| 3 | Ṁ24 | |
| 4 | Ṁ19 | |
| 5 | Ṁ12 |
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@traders Have resolved all No, I was convinced by the discussion here:
Probably shouldn't have traded on this one, but I promise I at least didn't feel biased because of the 30 profit at stake.
@LarsOsborne I thought I could resolve all markets to No, my mistake. Next best alternative is to NA the market, apologies
Some discussion on a coincidentally identical market on Metaculus if anyone is interested https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37328/india-pakistan-conflict-with-100-deaths-in-mayjune-2025/#comments