Will Nikki Haley beat Ron DeSantis in the Iowa caucus?
81
740
1.1k
resolved Jan 16
Resolved
NO

Closes when results clear. Likely 1-2 days after polling date or by 30 days.

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I think this can resolve to NO, there aren’t any votes outstanding

bought Ṁ50 of NO

Haley's lead comes entirely from independents and democrats that say they will go to the republican caucus for her. Enthusiasm among her supporters is very low. Doubtful how many people will actually do the effort, especially since they know it's futile as Trump has a 30 point lead.
Expecting her to dramatically underperform.

bought Ṁ100 of YES

Suffolk
Trump 54
Haley 22
DeSantis 13
Ramaswamy 6

predicted YES

Noted. Should read caucus, not primary.

predicted NO

@DonaldIves you can edit the title!

predicted YES

@mattyb Not sure how to do that……

bought Ṁ15 of NO

@DonaldIves

Really not a big deal here, but for when you may need this in the future, the little pencil icon should be next to the title of any markets that you own.

You can edit the close time, title, description, and tags all after market creation.

bought Ṁ70 of NO

@DonaldIves I edited the title to read "caucus"; based on you commenting here that you wanted it

If you want it changed back, let me know, or you can do it yourself

predicted NO

super nitty but, iowa’s got a caucus not a primary

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