Is the Pneumonia outbreak in China caused by lack of exposure to pathogens during the COVID lockdown?
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resolved Dec 3
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YES

As judged by WHO and other health institutions

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@Donald Resolves YES, links to statements from the WHO and other health authorities below:

Statements from:

  • China's National Health Commission

  • The director of University College London’s Genetic Institute

Why is pneumonia spreading in China?

Authorities from China’s National Health Commission attributed the rise in cases to the lifting of COVID-19 restrictions. Health experts have also agreed that this could be the reason, similar to the “lockdown exit wave” that was witnessed in countries like the United Kingdom.

China may be repaying an “immunity debt” after their lengthy lockdown, “which must have drastically reduced the circulation of respiratory bugs and hence decreased immunity to endemic bugs”, Francois Belloux, director of University College London’s Genetic Institute, said in a statement posted on X.

Statement from the WHO:

Some of these increases are earlier in the season than historically experienced, but not unexpected given the lifting of COVID-19 restrictions, as similarly experienced in other countries.

Statement from the acting director of the WHO's department of epidemic and pandemic preparedness and prevention:

in an interview with Stat, Maria Van Kerkhove, PhD, acting director of the WHO's department of epidemic and pandemic preparedness and prevention, said the information provided by Chinese officials suggests an immunity gap created by COVID-19 lockdowns is likely responsible for the surge in pediatric respiratory illnesses.

"This is not an indication of a novel pathogen," Van Kerkhove said. "This is expected. This is what most countries dealt with a year or two ago."

China's Zero COVID policy was far stricter, and kept the country under lockdown for far longer, than other countries. In addition to limiting the spread of COVID, it also prevented many children from being exposed to other respiratory illnesses. The WHO said that, at a November 13 press conference, China's National Health Commission attributed the recent increase in pediatric respiratory illness to the lifting of COVID-19 restrictions and the arrival of the cold season.

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If you're betting NO on this, I'll love to hear your reasoning.

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