Will the upcoming movie The Marvels, due to be released on November 10, 2023, earn less than $220m in North American box office through Dec 31, 2023? Box office reporting will be used on January 1st to determine the winner.
"Flop" is a matter of opinion obv, but the budget is reported to be $220m, so earning less than its budget would be quite bad. So we'll go with that!
Less than $220m at the NA box office = YES, its a flop
More than $220m at the NA box office = NO, not a flop
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Subjectively based on the synopsis/concept and mainly the past the characters' past appearances, YES it will be a flop.
Re: ratings...
Captain Marvel... (6.8)
https://www.imdb.com/title/tt4154664/
Saw it, and would rate it lower
Ms. Marvel (6.3)
https://www.imdb.com/title/tt10857164/
Again, saw the series and would rate it lower.
I don't think this will be a situation where you add two mediocre ingredients and something better pops out.
The previous box office for Captial Marvels was overall $423M, and it reached $286M by the second week after release. Even though overall movie sales shrank a lot after the pandemic, there are still 7 movies that achieved $220M at their box office, including 2 Marvel movies, the sequel of Spiderman and Guardians of the Galaxy. Followed by the sequel of Antman as number 6 whose box office was $214M. In my opinion, The Marvels is likely to make it to the targeted box office ($220M) but will not make a significant performance at the box office.
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