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Admin resolved

This resolves yes: https://www.google.com/url?q=https://abcnews.go.com/International/live-updates/russia-ukraine-war/%3Fid%3D99926452&sa=U&ved=2ahUKEwiY2J-D9LP_AhVKLUQIHc8cBQcQ0PADegQIDRAL&usg=AOvVaw1k10jQAakKsrNTo8MrdEdm

Ukraine begins counteroffensive against Russia, officials say

Ukrainian forces on Thursday began their long-awaited counteroffensive against invading Russian forces.

@MarcusAbramovitch liquidity for you if you resolve :)

@RobertCousineau thanks. But I won't be resolving it yet but since the market is still open "Scenario 4", I won't be resolving.

https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/Unresolved-markets-policy-c97970959b974f5b852fee4392301a19

I do agree that Scenario 1 and 4 are contradictory though. I'll ask Manifold to clarify that.

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@MarcusAbramovitch good point, and makes sense! I wish you luck!

This resolves yes but mods destroyed the account.