What Event Will Happen First: SpaceX 100 Launches OR Jimmy Carter Becomes A Centenarian
This market only resolves to 1 answer OR 50/50. (see below)
Resolves YES To The Event That Occurs First
SpaceX 100 Launches In 2024
Per Data Provided By SPACEX PAST FLIGHTS MANIFEST
Jimmy Carter Becomes A Centenarian
He is alive and 5 news sources and Wiki shows 100 years old on October 1st, 2024.
Sources: CNN, New York Times, Forbes, CNBC, Fox News, Business Insider, BBC News
RESOLVES 50/50 IF NEITHER HAPPENS
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LAUNCH COUNT
January: 10
February: 9
March: 13
April: 12
May: 14
June: 12
July: 5
August: 12
September: TBD
TOTAL: 87
@DistinctlySkeptical 87 total is correct, but it should be 11 in June (including Starship) and 6 in July (including the failure).
Including yesterday’s launch, I count 85 SpaceX launches in ‘24 (per the specified source). They'd need to do 15 launches in a month to make this, pretty doubtful.
I don’t think there’s a 50% chance than Jimmy croaks next month, but he’s on like year 15 of being in hospice, so who tf knows anymore
NASA delays next SpaceX crew launch due to ongoing Starliner problems
SpaceX's capsule has nowhere to dock.
There's definitely going to be a hiccup in SpaceX launches thanks to the failure of the second stage in the July 11th launch ( https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/details/7524 ) and the necessary investigation into the cause(s) and any remediation before resuming launches.
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Yup makes an interesting timeline for SpaceX