Will this question have 50+ traders by November 1?
4
100Ṁ162
Oct 31
70%
chance

Quite straightforward: resolves to yes if there are 50 or more unique traders on this question by the first second of November 2025 PST.

Again: unique traders. This is the count displayed near the market title.

For context, these resolved to YES:
https://manifold.markets/DevonFritz/will-this-question-have-50-traders
https://manifold.markets/DevonFritz/will-this-question-have-40-traders
https://manifold.markets/DevonFritz/this-question-have-29-traders-by-ju
https://manifold.markets/DevonFritz/this-question-have-32-traders-by-ju

But the most recent one with 55 resolved to NO:

https://manifold.markets/DevonFritz/will-this-question-have-55-traders

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