This market will resolve YES if over the course of any month (e.g. January, April or June) within the next year, Russia will have a gained occupied land in Ukraine, more than Ukraine has liberated.

If both Ukraine and Russia will win ground in different areas of the conflict, we will compare gained ground. If Russia gained more ground than it lost, this market will resolve YES.

I will use https://deepstatemap.live/en to assess wins and losses, but am open to other sources if there is a wide consensus between reports. To determine losses and gains, I will compare the first day of the month to the last.

DeepStateMAP | Map of the war in Ukraine

News of Russia's war against Ukraine on the map