Will over 10,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?
9
458
Ṁ264Ṁ210
2030
84%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
See:
https://www.gwern.net/Embryo-selection
Doesn't matter what the traits selected are; can be predicted health, personality traits, intelligence, criminality, whatever. Just matters that the embryo was selected based on not specific, simple criteria (i.e. how many chromosomes a fertilized egg has or whether or not it will have sickle cell disease) but more wide ranging quality of life or "child success" predictions.
Other markets:
:
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will over 100,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?
38% chance
Will over 1,000,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?
28% chance
Will a human baby be born via IVG before 2030?
52% chance
What will be the first ten countries to do widespread embryo selection for intelligence?
Will a human clone be born before the end of 2035?
40% chance
Will we be able to clone a human being from a live sample of their DNA by 2040?
34% chance
Will Israel be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
46% chance
Will there be over 9 billion people by 2037?
45% chance
Will the Fertility Crisis be solved by Fertility Technology ( Artificial Wombs, Embryo Selection, Robot Nannies etc.)
48% chance
Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
62% chance