When will AI autonomously build and deploys a production ML system that drives business decisions
2
Ṁ1kṀ3012033
April 4, 2029
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
15%
2026
19%
2027
15%
2028
15%
2029
10%
2030
9%
2031
15%
>=2032
This resolves positive when a credible public report describes a company where an AI system autonomously built, validated, deployed, and monitors a machine learning model that is used for real business decisions (pricing, fraud detection, recommendations, forecasting, etc.) serving live production traffic. Human involvement is limited to specifying the business objective and providing data access — the AI decides what features to use, what model to build, whether performance is sufficient to deploy, and when to retrain or roll back. The company must have >$100M valuation or >$10M ARR.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
By Jan 2027, will AI independently run 3 successful companies that would've previously needed programmers?
15% chance
xAI sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?
41% chance
When will an AI develop, maintain and evolve by itself a full web application?
Fortune 500 company attributes >10% productivity gains to AI by Q2 2026?
62% chance
AI for AI 1: By when will there be an AI that can do "intern-level" ML engineering?
AI for AI 2: By when will there be an AI that can do "senior-level" ML engineering?
The AI company with the smartest AI system by the end of 2026
OpenAI Announces that its CEO/Leader will have AI components (Software + human or alone) by mid 2026
18% chance
AI "devops" #2: Will there be an AI that can help manage cloud infrastructure by 2030?
78% chance
AI "devops" #1: Will there be an AI that can onboard as a dev by 2028?
82% chance