What will be true about the 2024 EU Parliamentary Elections
14
94
400
Jun 6
70%
One party will win more than 40% of the votes in any one member state
68%
Turnout will be higher than 50%
62%
A party created since the last election will get at least 20 seats
45%
European People's Party (EPP) and the Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats (S&D) combined gain seats
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Turnout will be higher than 50%
bought Ṁ10 Turnout will be high... NO

Previous turnout from 1976 to 2019 from Wikipedia:

61.99 58.98 58.41 56.67 49.51 45.47 42.97 42.61 50.66

One party will win more than 40% of the votes in any one member state

How does this deal with the following?

  • elections in Belgium are not nationwide: there are three completely separate elections, with different sets of parties, in each language community (Dutch, French and German). I suggest this question should apply to each of the three elections separately.

  • Ireland, and I think also Malta, use the single transferable vote. Will this question apply to first preferences only?

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