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MANIFOLD
Michael Bennet elected governor of Colorado?
12
Ṁ100Ṁ557
Jan 1
1%
chance

Part of Matt Yglesias' "Predictions for 2026" from his Slow Boring newsletter. Source: [Predictions for 2026](https://www.slowboring.com/i/181456375/predictions-for) Yglesias assigned 80% probability to this prediction. Original prediction: "Michael Bennet is elected governor of Colorado" Resolution: Will resolve based on Yglesias' own assessment in his January 2027 review post. If he doesn't publish one, market creator will resolve based on the outcome.

2026 US Election
2026 Matt Yglesias Predictions
Colorado
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bought Ṁ146 NO

@DavidFWatson resolves no

@perfperfperf I think it probably does, but I specified that I'll wait for Yglesias to score it to resolve.

@DavidFWatson I see; what’s the reason for that? It’s not like the result is going to change

@perfperfperf It's what I committed to at the beginning...

@DavidFWatson gotchu

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