Will I be able to get the majority of my irl friend group to use Manifold in the next 2 months?
36%
chance
Sep 17
M$446 bet
DannyKim
Danny Kim bought M$16 of NO
lol
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GavrielK
Gavriel K bought M$100 of NO
Seems super overoptimistic to me given my experience telling four different friends about Manifold, but interpersonal variability could presumably make a huge difference here. Good luck! @SirSalty I asked one of my friends about why he didn't join, and will put his comments in Discord for your perusal.
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DavidChee
SirSalty is betting YES at 50%
@GavrielK Thanks!
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journcy
journcy bought M$10 of YES
I had luck getting a friend of mine onto Manifold by selling him on the opportunity to make fake internet points by betting against a blogger that annoyed him
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DavidChee
SirSalty bought M$50 of YES
@journcy LOL that's awesome. Did he end up using the site after that for other interests too? Although using the site for the sole purpose of making points betting against people u dislike is a next level mindset tbh 😂
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journcy
journcy is betting YES at 71%
@DavidChee Unfortunately he hasn't, but I feel like the opportunity is there for me to pull him back in if something of interest comes up/I play my cards right. So, progress
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DavidChee
SirSalty is betting YES at 65%
@journcy fair enough! I think it is quite expected for a large number of users to only come to Manifold when there are specific events/questions they want to bet on that their friends are talking about. One example I'm excited to see is when the Fifa World Cup starts if lots of friend groups start using Manifold to bet on it.
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