6% chance. Amazon has pledged to award $1,000,000 to anyone over 18 years of age who captures proof of "extraterrestrial life" on a Ring camera and submits unaltered evidence to them before November 3, 2023, at 11:59pm EDT. This market will resolve to YES if one or more people are awarded prizes by Amazon in this contest, at the discretion of the judge appointed to judge the contest. It will resolve to N/A if the contest is cancelled, and to NO if the judgment is made that no evidence was submitted that met their prize criteria. Whether anyone other than Amazon and the judge agrees with the decision is not relevant to resolution. The market will likely require time to resolve after the submission deadline, because an expert was appointed by Amazon to watch the videos, and the deadline is only the date when all the videos must be received by. The market will remain open until a decision on the contest is reached.