This is a repeat of last weeks market, which I resolved to YES, but narrowly. I was lights out between 9:56 and 9:59 for each of the 4 nights that time. If I mistime it and it's later than 10:00, then the market will resolve to NO.

External factors exist in my life that might make me miss my bedtime no matter what. In that case I'd resolve the market to NO.

I'm highly motivated by social accountability, so the market existing makes it far likelier I will make my bedtime.

If you want to support me, then vote YES. I care more about not letting people down than earning mana. I won't be betting myself. Though I guess if you want to motivate more people to bet YES then someone needs to vote NO.