This market resolves YES if any North Korean ballistic missile, cruise missile, or any other form of ordnance physically lands on Japanese territory (including islands and territorial waters) before January 1, 2028. Resolution will be based on official statements from the Japanese government, confirmed reports from Japanese defense authorities, or credible international news sources documenting the incident.
Update 2026-09-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * The Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) waters of Japan count as Japanese territorial waters for the purpose of resolution.
1,000@DanzoAlerantos I am asking because there was confusion around whether that has occurred. I tend to think it is unclear at best, but there may be more information made public later. Definitely no reason to resolve yet, and may well be it was just in the vague vicinity of the area. Confused reporting.