Resolution criteria
This market will resolve based on the total number of deaths directly attributed to the riots in California from June 9, 2025, through July 31, 2025. The primary source for determining the death toll will be official reports from the California Department of Public Health and statements from local law enforcement agencies. In the absence of official reports, reputable news organizations such as Reuters, Associated Press, and the Los Angeles Times will be used. The final count will be based on the most reliable and widely accepted figures available as of August 1, 2025.
Background
As of June 9, 2025, California, particularly Los Angeles, has experienced escalating protests and riots in response to federal immigration enforcement actions. The situation intensified following President Donald Trump's deployment of approximately 2,000 National Guard troops to Los Angeles without the request of California Governor Gavin Newsom, marking a rare federal intervention. Protests have included clashes between demonstrators and law enforcement, the burning of self-driving cars, and blockades of major freeways. Local officials, including Governor Newsom and Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass, have criticized the federal response, expressing concerns that it may exacerbate tensions. (reuters.com)
Considerations
Data Availability: Accurate and timely reporting of fatalities during civil unrest can be challenging. Official counts may be delayed or revised as investigations proceed.
Scope of Incidents: While current unrest is concentrated in Los Angeles, similar events could occur in other parts of California, potentially affecting the death toll.
Verification Challenges: In the absence of official reports, reliance on media sources may introduce discrepancies due to varying reporting standards and potential biases.
Escalating Protests and Federal Response in Los Angeles:
1,000