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I’m surprised folks think the probability is as high as it is. The only major reason I can think of a fairly quick resolution would be a landslide victory by either campaign without significant delays due to mail in ballots, ballot counting, legal battles, or excessive media caution.

@JosephReichert I bought NO without thinking much, but some states have implemented laws to speed up vote counting so I'm not sure.

@kaiemon good point. I hadn’t considered that.