X axis: number of yes positions - number of no positions.

Y axis: Market's probability (0.50 = 50%)

Play around with it here:

https://www.desmos.com/calculator/dzneh92vu2

The boundary formula is:

Y = 1/(1 + 1.001^-x^3)

(A variation on the inverse logit function)

I will not bet.

How many unique traders will this market have?

https://manifold.markets/Daniel_MC/how-many-unique-traders-will-my-gre?r=RGFuaWVsX01D