If trump is sentenced to prison will it boost his election chances?
126
1kṀ19kresolved Nov 6
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100%55%
Trump not sentenced to prison and elected
0.8%
Trump sentenced to prison and elected
2.0%
Trump sentenced to prison and not elected
42%
Trump not sentenced to prison and not elected
Must be sentenced to prison by any US court before the 2024 election. Need not go to prison before the election.
House arrest does not count for this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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