
How many people will fill out the 2024 LessWrong survey?
11
605Ṁ509resolved Apr 18
100%7%
< 500
27%
500 - 750
30%
750 - 1,000
23%
1,000 - 1,500
13%
> 1,500
Many years, a LessWrong survey / census has been run, asking a variety of questions. There were gaps in 2018, 2019, and 2021, with surveys re-starting in 2022 and 2023. The survey got 186 responses in 2022 and 558 responses in 2023. How many responses will it get in 2024?
NB: if no survey is run in 2024, I'll consider that 0 responses. Since the survey is unofficial, I will use my own judgement in deciding what counts as "the" survey but I expect it to be obvious (basically the most prominent survey claiming to be "the" LW 2024 survey).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ53 | |
2 | Ṁ44 | |
3 | Ṁ9 | |
4 | Ṁ4 | |
5 | Ṁ0 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will "2024 Unofficial LessWrong Census/Survey" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
4% chance
Will "2023 Survey Results" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
2% chance
Will "The Median Researcher Problem" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will LessWrong still be meaningfully active in 2026? *
92% chance
Will "The Plan - 2024 Update" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
9% chance
Will "What happens if you present 500 people with a..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "Survey: How Do Elite Chinese Students Feel Ab..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "LessOnline (May 31—June 2, Berkeley, CA)" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
5% chance
Will LessWrong still be meaningfully active in 2030? *
86% chance
Will "What o3 Becomes by 2028" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
18% chance