Will a Democrat win an absolute majority of the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Basic
82
แน45kresolved Nov 6
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes if the Democratic nominee has >50% of all votes cast in the 2024 Presidential Election by the time the new President is inaugurated.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@ChinmayTheMathGuy you can create a limit order to buy no shares at whichever % you think is appropriate, which will automatically sell your current yes shares if other people try buying yes at that %
@mongo Exactly, the standard terminology would be plurality vs majority, but I wanted to avoid misinterpretations so I used 'absolute majority'.
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2024 elections?
5% chance
Will any candidate get a majority of the popular vote in 2024?
82% chance
Will the Democratic candidate's popular vote exceed Republican candidate's popular vote in 2024 Presidential election?
2% chance
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? (RW version)
2% chance
Will the democratic party win the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
1% chance
Will a democrat win the 2024 presidential election in Nevada?
2% chance
Will a democrat win the 2024 presidential election in Ohio?
1% chance
Will a Democrat win the popular vote in ALL of the following presidential elections: 2024, 2028, 2032, 2036, 2040
3% chance
Will a democrat win the 2024 presidential election in Colorado?
99% chance
Will a democrat win the 2024 presidential election in Louisiana?
1% chance