Will a Democrat win an absolute majority of the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Basic
82
แน45kresolved Nov 6
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes if the Democratic nominee has >50% of all votes cast in the 2024 Presidential Election by the time the new President is inaugurated.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@ChinmayTheMathGuy you can create a limit order to buy no shares at whichever % you think is appropriate, which will automatically sell your current yes shares if other people try buying yes at that %
@mongo Exactly, the standard terminology would be plurality vs majority, but I wanted to avoid misinterpretations so I used 'absolute majority'.
Related questions
Related questions
Will any candidate win a majority of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
1% chance
Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?
56% chance
Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?
55% chance
Will a democrat win the 2028 presidential election?
55% chance
Will the Democratic candidate's popular vote exceed Republican candidate's popular vote in 2024 Presidential election?
1% chance
Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?
50% chance
Will a Democrat win the 2036 presidential election?
56% chance
Will a Democrat win the national popular vote in ALL of the following USA pres elections: 2028, 2032, 2036, 2040?
34% chance
2024 Presidential Election: Will Dems win popular vote by 2%+ over GOP?
1% chance