https://www.nytimes.com/2023/09/18/world/canada/canada-india-sikh-killing.html
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said on Monday that “agents of the Indian government” carried out the killing of a Sikh community leader in British Columbia last June.
Mr Trudeau said Canadian intelligence has identified a "credible" link between his death and the Indian state.
Here is some (but not all) of the criteria that would count as involvement:
Knowingly funding or providing resources
The perpetrators being members of the government
Directly asking for the murder to occur
Some things that would not count:
Knowledge, but no involvement, of the plot
Unknowingly funding or providing resources.
At the end of the year (or sooner if a strong consensus is formed), I will look at the consensus of credible media reports and the language they use on culpability for the killing.
If there is consensus that the Indian government was involved, this market resolves YES.
If there is no strong consensus either way, this market resolves N/A.
If there is consensus that the Indian government was not involved, this market resolves NO.
Since this market relies heavily on my interpretation of consensus, I will not bet in this market, and encourage people to ask questions to clarify.
1,000