When do we see peak Falcon?
11
1kṀ1853
2031
1.8%
2024
19%
2025
44%
2026
15%
2027
7%
2028
5%
2029
4%
2030
5%
Other

When will SpaceX fly the highest number of Falcon 9 flights in a calendar year?

Falcon Heavy not included.

Resolution

Resolves to the year with the most flights. Flights with a mishap count, so long as it launched from the pad.

To capture the lifetime peak year, we would need to wait until Falcon 9 is cancelled, in order to know there won't be a later resurgence in flights.

In practice, we'll actually resolve once annual flights have decreased from the previous year, so long as SpaceX signals that they expect an even lower number for the upcoming year.

Will be extended, if needed.

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But Starship’s arrival will come at the expense of the workhorse Falcon 9, which lacks the capacity to haul the next-gen Starlinks to orbit. “This year and next year I anticipate will be the highest Falcon launch rates that we will see,” said Stephanie Bednarek, SpaceX’s vice president of commercial sales, at an industry conference in July.

I believe the count for 2024 is 132

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