[ACX 2026] Will the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup be a country that has never won before?
41
Ṁ5.1kṀ11kJul 19
23%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.
Metaculus high-level description:
This question will resolve as Yes if the winner of 2026 FIFA World Cup is a country other than Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, or Spain.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
2026 FIFA World Cup ⚽ | 🏆 Winner
Who will win the FIFA World Cup 2026?
Which team will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Who will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup (Multiple Choice)
Who Will Finish First in Group I of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a first time winner?
22% chance
Which Team will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will a previous winner of the World Cup win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
77% chance
Will a South American country be the next world cup champion in 2026?
22% chance
Which team will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?