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This market resolves YES if the Bank of England's official Bank (Interest) Rate falls below 4.00% at any point before (not on) Tuesday March 3rd, 2026. The market resolves NO if the Bank of England's official Bank Rate stays at 4.00% or higher from the date of this question until and including Monday March 2nd, 2026.
Economic forecasts vary but many expect the UK Bank Rate to fall from the current rate of 4.75% (as of November 2024).
Resolution Source: Bank of England Official Bank Rate history.
To be honest, I wouldn’t jump to conclusions about the Bank of England’s interest rates until 3 March 2026. The economic situation is constantly changing, and much depends on global factors such as inflation and price increases. Forecasts indicate possible rate fluctuations, but it’s not a given that they will fall to 4% or lower that quickly. Although if you want more detailed information on the economic forecasts, it’s worth keeping an eye on city national bank of florida phone number for the latest news.