How many named storms will hit the US in the remaining 2023 hurricane season?
20
890Ṁ8274resolved Dec 15
100%99.3%
3
0.0%
0
0.0%
1
0.0%
2
0.3%
4
0.3%
5+
At this time NOAA is estimating that there will be:
"...a 70% chance of 14-21 named storms, of which 6-11 could become hurricanes, and 2-5 could become major hurricanes."
https://www.nesdis.noaa.gov/news/noaa-releases-updated-2023-atlantic-hurricane-season-outlook
But there are some complexities in play as well with a moderate El Nino with their sheering winds that limit hurricane formation and a very strong warming cycle in the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) that promotes hurricanes.
https://weather.com/safety/hurricane/news/2023-08-10-august-noaa-2023-hurricane-season-outlook-update
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