Peter Retarrdo not trade advisor to Trump by end of 2025?
Peter Retarrdo not trade advisor to Trump by end of 2025?
4
100Ṁ35Dec 31
47%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Update 2025-04-29 (PST): - Individual in question: This market refers to Peter Navarro (the person linked in the comment). (AI summary of creator comment)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Is this the person in question for this market? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peter_Navarro?wprov=sfla1
Or are we being hyper-literal with this market title?
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will Mr. Donald Trump join Manifold Markets before the end of 2025?
2% chance
Trump administration signs major new trade deal by August 27, 2025?
84% chance
Peter Navarro out of the Trump admin before EOY 2025?
52% chance
Will Trump call Elon retarded by the end of 2025?
7% chance
Will Palmer Lucky be appointed to any role by Trump by the end of 2025?
18% chance
Will Trump appoint Donald Trump Jr as ambassador to any country by the end of 2025?
8% chance
Will Elon call Trump retarded by the end of 2025?
21% chance
Will Trump make any successful recess appointments to his cabinet in 2025?
17% chance
Will Trump leave the United States in 2025?
99% chance
Will Trump sell Mar-a-Lago before the end of 2025?
3% chance