Will I stick to my finals study routine from May 3 to May 11?
To prepare for my UC Berkeley finals on May 12 and 13, I’ve created a daily routine that I will aim to follow every day from May 3 through May 11 (inclusive). This market resolves YES if I follow the routine on all 9 days without exception. It resolves NO if I break it on even one day. I'll be betting this market up whenever I have mana.
✅ The Routine:
Study for at least 9 hours per day, between 8:00 am and 10:00 pm.
Attend my daily company meeting at 10:00 am without being late or missing it.
📌 Clarifications:
Study time must be productive and intentional—passive review or distracted time does not count.
Short breaks/meals are fine, as long as total focused study time is 9+ hours.
The 10am meeting must be attended live (not watching a recording) and engaged with.
📅 Timeframe:
This market only covers May 3 to May 11, the lead-up to finals.
Final resolution will be determined by me, based on a combination of self-assessment, time-tracking logs, and calendar/meeting attendance records. I will update every day with how much I studied and whether I made my meeting. If I fail to do this one day within the timeframe by midnight, the market resolves NO.
Information about Me:
I would consider myself extremely driven and motivated to perform well on these exams, but I have never been good at managing my time. I am not sure that I have spent 9 hours a day on a specific task for 10 days in a row at any point in my life. This market is my attempt to change that, and I will attempt to do this at all costs. I won't game the system in any way (e.g, unfairly counting doing my homework as studying), though. I will only buy YES. I might buy YES based on new information, but I will never sell YES or buy NO.
I have various other goals I'm also trying to complete within this period, which you can track here: https://manifold.markets/CrypticQccZ/will-i-get-my-life-together-in-the
You can also bet on how I'll perform on the exams here: https://manifold.markets/CrypticQccZ/how-will-i-perform-on-my-final-exam
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People are also trading
@DiegoZamalloaChion resolves NO as i missed two days. Since then I've kept it up and studied 10+ hours a day. Going to the library has bene very helpful. Hopefully I can do well on these finals. So far I'm doing well in math, but behind in CS and haven't even started econ. You can bet on that too!
did it today! today was better. around 10 hours of work. still pretty far behind, but i think if i study this hrad every day i'll do well. going to the library helped me. i set up some AI systems (chatgpt project, etc) to help me study. biggest thing now is moving my sleep schedule earlier. have a quiz tomorrow for math, will see how i do. not nearly through all the content, but maybe i'll do OK.
Made it barely on the first day! Just over 9 hours today. Energized and committed as ever, but got a little distracted by various other projects as usual. I think in aggregate today was a very productive day, but I need to learn to prioritize one thing and be able to fully commit to it. This is the main reaosn I'm doing this: the finals/grades themselves are not that important.