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MANIFOLD
At close will this market have Yes bets including exactly 1 mana, 100 mana, 1,000 mana and 10,000 mana?
14
Ṁ340Ṁ474
resolved Mar 14
Resolved
N/A

Resolves Yes if all four of those numbers are held as Yes positions. There can also be any other Yes positions held, or duplicates of any of those four - that’s fine.

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Does bet in this case mean payout size / shares, or does it mean capital risked?

@simoj Positions, as listed under that tab

@Creature Positions are the total payouts if they win, not the amount bet...

@cantankerous Ah, understood. Thanks so much for that clarification. I structured this poorly then and don’t want to confuse people. I’ll NA it accordingly. Sorry everyone!

Do you promise to not yourself trade in this market to influence the outcome? As written, I believe you retain the right to buy one of those positions right before you resolve the market, bringing it to a Yes with no risk to you.

If previous predictions were on the low side and sufficient volume, this could be a good amount of risk-free mana for you.

@ssh Why does it matter in this case? Anyone else on the site would face the same proposition right before close. @Creature has no special power or information.

@IsaacCarruthers Yeah I think Isaac is correct unless I’m missing something, but I’m happy to commit to not betting on this market for peace of mind.

bought Ṁ50 NO

@ssh As long as the close time doesn't change, @Creature has no advantage over other traders

Good points everyone; I retract my request.