MANIFOLD
By 2026, will Openai commit to delaying model release if ARC Evals thinks it's dangerous?
9
Ṁ130Ṁ242
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

By "commit" I mean publicly sign a formal document.

By "delaying" I mean until it passes ARC's benchmarks.

By "thinks it's dangerous" I mean some predefined benchmark for model capabilities and/or alignment.

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If they don't commit to anything in advance, and then ARC thinks that GPT-5 is dangerous, and then OpenAI delay for 12 months, how will you resolve this?

@YonatanCale That would be nice, but the market is only concerned with them committing in advance, so would not be enough to resolve YES.

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