Which party will finish second in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
4
Ṁ125Ṁ64May 7
28%
Reform UK
37%
Scottish Labour Party
19%
Scottish Conservative and Unionist Party
6%
Scottish Liberal Democrats
9%
Scottish Green Party
With the Scottish National Party (SNP) being heavy favourites to finish first, second place is a more interesting question. This market resolves based on constituency vote share in the May 7 2026 Scottish Parliament election.
Resolves to whichever party receives the second highest share of the constituency vote on election night. If the SNP or any party not listed as an option finishes second, the market resolves N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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