Several people have asked and encouraged me to make one, but I am sorry I don't have a dating doc. I have had making one on the back-burner for years now.
I am the guy in the panda hat. Feel free to find and talk to me to get a sense on how you'd like to bet if you're here.
Making out means there has to be mutually consensual tongue-to-tongue and lip-to-lip contact. So cute peck warmup kisses don't count.
Panda Hat must be on head. Hard Requirement. Auto-resolves to NO on Monday when I am "no longer at Manifest"
I'll refrain from betting.
Update 2026-06-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will make out with any gender, but is significantly more selective with men (describing themselves as a 1 on the Kinsey scale).
Update 2026-06-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The panda hat must be on the creator's head during the make-out for the market to resolve Yes.
Update 2026-06-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will not resolve YES if the make-out is explicitly motivated by or tied to this market. The kiss must occur in a social context where the market feels entirely orthogonal to the reason for the kiss. Bringing up this market in conversation is likely to prevent a YES resolution.
Update 2026-06-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The make-out can occur outside Lighthaven (the physical venue), as long as the other person is a Manifest event attendee. Manifest refers to the event, not a specific location.
1,000🏅 Top traders
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| 5 | Ṁ326 |
Baby thing in comment below I'd give some sort of "partial" outcome.
But I resolved YES because it doesn't matter. A cutie did let me kiss them and I felt fireworks go off behind me. Happy Manifest everyone!
(^_^)/
Btw, reason to suspect this has low probability is that I have an involuntary ick response to imagining almost anyone coming up to me and saying "hey let's kiss and make this market YES," so this market - at least from my side - would very likely only resolve YES in a social context where I feel like the reason for the kiss is entirely orthogonal to this market's existence (it doesn't have to be after the fact. I would laugh my ass off if I am told after the kiss that they knew about the market).
This all does mean it is kinda just a roll of a dice whether I'd find myself in the appropriate context since I am not advertising this market in conversations at all. And... if anything this market being explicitly brought up in conversation is exactly the thing that would prevent this market from resolving YES.
... I just realized that last part... oops... 😭
@Jack1 Any gender is fine. But I am orders of magnitude more picky with men. Like 1 on the Kinsey scale